BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Mount Ayr

Class: 2 Class Rank: 91 Conference: Iowa Record: (45-10-2) Overall: (65-24-2) Overall Strength =   52.42

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L- T) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 09-15-1961 Away    W   *  45.59   6   0    2 286 (41-36- 4) Seymour                -6.84     12.84                      
 2 09-22-1961 Home    W   *  57.54  26   7    2 269 (25-21- 3) Mormon Trail            5.11     13.89                      
 3 09-29-1961 Away    W * *  51.33  28   0    2 429 (16-55- 3) Afton East Union       -1.11     29.11                      
 4 10-06-1961 Home    W   *  47.90  20   0    2 362 (29-47- 2) Lamoni                 -4.54     24.54  homecoming          
 5 10-13-1961 Away    W * *  45.67  19   0    2 402 (12-24- 0) Cambria-Corydon        -6.76     25.76                      
 6 10-20-1961 Home    W   *  46.00  20   6    2 336 (26-37- 2) Leon Central Decatur   -6.43     20.43                      
 7 10-27-1961 Away    W * *  86.53  42   0    2 222 (49-37- 5) Lenox                  34.10      7.90                      
 8 11-03-1961 Home    W   *  56.80   7   0    2 105 (33-56- 1) Creston                 4.37      2.63                      
 9 11-11-1961 Home    W * *  61.23  27   0    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford                 8.80     18.20                      
10 09-14-1962 Away    L   *  34.26   6   7    2 336 (26-37- 2) Leon Central Decatur  -18.18     17.18                      
11 09-21-1962 Home    W * *  70.66  38   0    2 328 (23-59- 4) Villisca               18.23     19.77                      
12 09-28-1962 Away    W * *  87.54  40   0    2 177 (52-34- 1) Greenfield             35.10      4.90                      
13 10-05-1962 Home    W * *  44.07  24   0    2 429 (16-55- 3) Afton East Union       -8.37     32.37  homecoming          
14 10-12-1962 Away    L * *  31.49   7  13    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford               -20.94     14.94                      
15 10-19-1962 Home    W * *  70.27  29   0    2 222 (49-37- 5) Lenox                  17.84     11.16                      
16 10-26-1962 Away    W * * 100.75  53   0    2 175 (48-38- 4) Griswold               48.31      4.69                      
17 11-02-1962 Home    W * *  56.00  48  14    2 407 (26-37- 2) Clearfield              3.57     30.43                      
18 11-09-1962 Away    W   *  92.06  46   7    2 105 (33-56- 1) Creston                39.62     -0.62                      
19 09-13-1963 Home    W   *  87.00  55   0    2 336 (26-37- 2) Leon Central Decatur   34.57     20.43                      
20 09-20-1963 Away    W * *  89.92  54   0    2 328 (23-59- 4) Villisca               37.48     16.52                      
21 09-27-1963 Home    W * *  70.28  26   0    2 177 (52-34- 1) Greenfield             17.85      8.15                      
22 10-04-1963 Away    W * *  56.33  33   0    2 429 (16-55- 3) Afton East Union        3.89     29.11                      
23 10-11-1963 Home    W * *  53.23  19   0    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford                 0.80     18.20  homecoming          
24 10-18-1963 Away    W * *  70.53  26   0    2 222 (49-37- 5) Lenox                  18.10      7.90                      
25 10-25-1963 Home    W * *  51.49  19  12    2 175 (48-38- 4) Griswold               -0.95      7.95                      
26 11-01-1963 Away    W * *  40.26  27  12    2 407 (26-37- 2) Clearfield            -12.18     27.18                      
27 11-08-1963 Home    W   *  56.80  13   6    2 105 (33-56- 1) Creston                 4.37      2.63                      
28 09-11-1964 Away    W   *  73.26  38   0    2 336 (26-37- 2) Leon Central Decatur   20.82     17.18                      
29 09-18-1964 Away    W * *  68.54  21   0    2 177 (52-34- 1) Greenfield             16.10      4.90                      
30 09-25-1964 Home    W * *  60.07  40   0    2 429 (16-55- 3) Afton East Union        7.63     32.37                      
31 10-02-1964 Away    W * *  43.49  12   6    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford                -8.94     14.94                      
32 10-09-1964 Home    W * *  75.27  34   0    2 222 (49-37- 5) Lenox                  22.84     11.16  homecoming          
33 10-16-1964 Home    W * *  53.66  28   7    2 328 (23-59- 4) Villisca                1.23     19.77                      
34 10-23-1964 Away    W   *  88.45  49   7    2 183 (18-38- 1) Saydel                 36.02      5.98                      
35 10-30-1964 Home    W * *  47.00  40  15    2 407 (26-37- 2) Clearfield             -5.43     30.43                      
36 11-06-1964 Away    L   *  39.06   0  14    2 105 (33-56- 1) Creston               -13.38     -0.62                      
37 09-10-1965 Home    W   *  65.00  33   0    2 336 (26-37- 2) Leon Central Decatur   12.57     20.43                      
38 09-17-1965 Home    W * *  63.28  19   0    2 177 (52-34- 1) Greenfield             10.85      8.15                      
39 09-24-1965 Away    W * *  74.33  51   0    2 429 (16-55- 3) Afton East Union       21.89     29.11                      
40 10-01-1965 Home    W * *  60.23  32   6    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford                 7.80     18.20  homecoming          
41 10-08-1965 Away    W * *  89.53  51   6    2 222 (49-37- 5) Lenox                  37.10      7.90                      
42 10-15-1965 Away    W * *  41.92  20  14    2 328 (23-59- 4) Villisca              -10.52     16.52                      
43 10-22-1965 Home    L   *  27.86  12  32    2 127 (35-51- 4) Centerville           -24.58      4.58                      
44 10-29-1965 Away    W * *  79.26  54   0    2 407 (26-37- 2) Clearfield             26.82     27.18  estimate            
45 11-05-1965 Home    L   *  40.80   0   9    2 105 (33-56- 1) Creston               -11.63      2.63                      
46 09-09-1966 Away    W   *  41.26  12   6    2 336 (26-37- 2) Leon Central Decatur  -11.18     17.18                      
47 09-13-1966 Home    W      52.10  12   6   ZZ  61 ( 9-10- 2) Maryville MO           -0.34      6.34                      
48 09-16-1966 Home    W * *  65.07  45   0    2 429 (16-55- 3) Afton East Union       12.63     32.37                      
49 09-23-1966 Away    W * *  57.49  20   0    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford                 5.06     14.94                      
50 09-30-1966 Home    W * *  59.27  43  25    2 222 (49-37- 5) Lenox                   6.84     11.16                      
51 10-07-1966 Home    L * *  20.66   6  18    2 328 (23-59- 4) Villisca              -31.77     19.77                      
52 10-14-1966 Away    L * *  21.54  13  39    2 177 (52-34- 1) Greenfield            -30.90      4.90  homecoming          
53 10-21-1966 Away    L   *  19.11   7  39    2 127 (35-51- 4) Centerville           -33.32      1.32                      
54 10-28-1966 Home           52.42   0   0   ZZ  92 ( 0- 0- 0) open                    0.00 X   11.81                      
55 11-04-1966 Away    W   *  80.06  40  13    2 105 (33-56- 1) Creston                27.62     -0.62                      
56 09-15-1967 Home    W   *  68.00  42   6    2 336 (26-37- 2) Leon Central Decatur   15.57     20.43                      
57 09-22-1967 Away    W * *  54.33  33   2    2 429 (16-55- 3) Afton East Union        1.89     29.11                      
58 09-29-1967 Home    W * *  61.23  41  14    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford                 8.80     18.20  homecoming          
59 10-06-1967 Away    T * *  44.53  19  19    2 222 (49-37- 5) Lenox                  -7.90      7.90  homecoming          
60 10-13-1967 Away    L * *  30.92  13  18    2 328 (23-59- 4) Villisca              -21.52     16.52                      
61 10-20-1967 Home    L * *  43.28   6   7    2 177 (52-34- 1) Greenfield             -9.15      8.15                      
62 10-27-1967 Home    L   *  33.86   6  20    2 127 (35-51- 4) Centerville           -18.58      4.58                      
63 11-03-1967 Away    W * *  77.49  46   6    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford                25.06     14.94                      
64 11-10-1967 Home    W   *  56.80  21  14    2 105 (33-56- 1) Creston                 4.37      2.63                      
65 09-13-1968 Away    W   *  41.26  13   7    2 336 (26-37- 2) Leon Central Decatur  -11.18     17.18                      
66 09-20-1968 Away    W * *  55.49  18   0    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford                 3.06     14.94                      
67 09-27-1968 Home    W * *  54.27  27  14    2 222 (49-37- 5) Lenox                   1.84     11.16                      
68 10-04-1968 Home    W * *  19.66   0  13    2 328 (23-59- 4) Villisca              -32.77     19.77  post-game forfeit AND ineligible player
69 10-11-1968 Away    L * *  33.54   0  14    2 177 (52-34- 1) Greenfield            -18.90      4.90                      
70 10-18-1968 Away    W * *  42.33  32  13    2 429 (16-55- 3) Afton East Union      -10.11     29.11                      
71 10-25-1968 Away    L   *  45.11   7  13    2 127 (35-51- 4) Centerville            -7.32      1.32  homecoming          
72 11-01-1968 Home    L   *  29.17  14  34    2 111 (32-53- 3) Glenwood              -23.26      3.26                      
73 11-08-1968 Away    L   *  43.06  25  35    2 105 (33-56- 1) Creston                -9.38     -0.62                      
74 09-05-1969 Away    L   *  32.28   0   6    2 308 (12-11- 4) Corydon Wayne         -20.16     14.16                      
75 09-12-1969 Home    W   *  50.00  26   8    2 336 (26-37- 2) Leon Central Decatur   -2.43     20.43                      
76 09-19-1969 Home    W * *  52.23  26   8    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford                -0.20     18.20                      
77 09-26-1969 Away    L * *  30.53   8  22    2 222 (49-37- 5) Lenox                 -21.90      7.90                      
78 10-03-1969 Away    W * *  55.92  26   6    2 328 (23-59- 4) Villisca                3.48     16.52  homecoming          
79 10-10-1969 Home    W * *  50.28  32  26    2 177 (52-34- 1) Greenfield             -2.15      8.15  homecoming          
80 10-17-1969 Away    T * *  23.33   8   8    2 429 (16-55- 3) Afton East Union      -29.11     29.11                      
81 10-22-1969 Home    W   *  67.86  33  13    2 127 (35-51- 4) Centerville            15.42      4.58                      
82 10-31-1969 Away    W   *  62.43  36  26    2 111 (32-53- 3) Glenwood                9.99      0.01                      
83 11-07-1969 Home    L   *  25.80  14  38    2 105 (33-56- 1) Creston               -26.63      2.63                      
84 09-11-1970 Away    L   *  30.86   6  35    2  41 (49-39- 2) Chariton              -21.57     -7.43                      
85 09-18-1970 Away    W * *  57.92  28   6    2 328 (23-59- 4) Villisca                5.48     16.52                      
86 09-25-1970 Home    W * *  46.28   8   6    2 177 (52-34- 1) Greenfield             -6.15      8.15                      
87 10-02-1970 Away    L * *  38.53  14  20    2 222 (49-37- 5) Lenox                 -13.90      7.90  homecoming          
88 10-09-1970 Home    W * *  46.07  26   0    2 429 (16-55- 3) Afton East Union       -6.37     32.37                      
89 10-16-1970 Home    L * *  29.89   0  14    2 182 (36-52- 1) Corning               -22.55      8.55                      
90 10-23-1970 Home    L   *  31.60   6   8    2 321 (17-69- 2) Osceola Clarke        -20.84     18.84                      
91 10-30-1970 Away    L * *  35.49  12  14    2 314 (36-49- 4) Bedford               -16.94     14.94                      
92 11-06-1970 Away    L   *  11.06   6  48    2 105 (33-56- 1) Creston               -41.38     -0.62                      
      Averages              52.42  23.6  9.9

Best game:  100.75 = 53 point win over Griswold
Worst game:  11.06 = 42 point loss to Creston
Team stdev:  19.08